Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.830734 1.023627 1.230400 1.466480 1.726619 2.002758 2.316318
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.617912 0.886426 1.196976 1.573897 2.011080 2.495295 3.065586
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.479630 0.777496 1.142477 1.604733 2.159050 2.789216 3.547448
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.366078 0.676521 1.079982 1.612001 2.269325 3.033550 3.969620
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.260476 0.562487 0.981815 1.558449 2.292221 3.163712 4.248874
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.181004 0.467517 0.894665 1.507032 2.308236 3.278434 4.504223
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.127159 0.398345 0.832513 1.479353 2.346610 3.414265 4.779625
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.097361 0.362880 0.814140 1.506915 2.452908 3.631583 5.152047
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.070405 0.324001 0.784972 1.515330 2.531325 3.812409 5.479036
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044606 0.276086 0.734456 1.488140 2.558812 3.926732 5.722785
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.039972 0.279817 0.770545 1.588286 2.758515 4.260419 6.238573
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033927 0.277156 0.794529 1.669977 2.933203 4.562691 6.716366
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.028494 0.276375 0.825437 1.768889 3.141402 4.920636 7.280181
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023788 0.276094 0.857462 1.870932 3.356458 5.290920 7.864208
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015737 0.256746 0.850884 1.911213 3.484211 5.547227 8.304737
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008176 0.228833 0.823838 1.917017 3.562355 5.738535 8.663740
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001947 0.186257 0.759733 1.858606 3.546147 5.804014 8.862179
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.149417 0.699612 1.801410 3.527920 5.864136 9.051730
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.123495 0.657915 1.770833 3.544924 5.968167 9.294502
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.112956 0.652085 1.801343 3.651605 6.192430 9.692056
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.099280 0.635104 1.810677 3.725957 6.372791 10.033070
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.080175 0.597738 1.780547 3.739264 6.469352 10.265031
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.086129 0.636495 1.891397 3.967644 6.860200 10.880594